WEATHER ALERT
HURRICANE
Florida
South Florida
Hurricane hunters set to investigate disturbance off Southeast US
Read full article: Hurricane hunters set to investigate disturbance off Southeast USShowers and thunderstorms are becoming more concentrated around an area of low pressure – now designated Invest 92L – centered about 100 miles off the coast of northeast Florida.
UPDATES
For the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2026. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.
Posted 3 weeks ago by NHC Forecaster Forecaster Bucci
Special Features
Central Atlantic Significant Swell: A cold front extends from 31N48W to 27N67W. Large NW swell behind the front is producing 12 to 16 ft seas north of 28N between 49W and 63W. A reinforcing set of large NW swell will move into the northern waters tonight to maintain the area of rough to very rough seas.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more information.
Monsoon Trough/ITCZ
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N15W to 05N19W. The ITCZ continues from 05N19W to 03N50W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from 00N to 05N between 20W and 40W.
Gulf Of America
High pressure prevails across the Gulf waters, anchored by a 1019 mb high centered over the NE Gulf. Light to gentle winds are in the vicinity of the high center, with gentle to moderate winds elsewhere. Seas are in the 1-3 ft range.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will support gentle to moderate E to SE winds and slight to moderate seas across the Gulf through late Sun. The next cold front is expected to enter the northwest Gulf early Mon, followed by fresh to strong northerly winds and rough seas, except gale conditions will be possible in the far west central and southwest Gulf by Mon night.
Caribbean Sea
Fresh to strong winds, and seas of 6-8 ft, prevail over the south central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 5-6 ft, are in the north central Caribbean. Moderate winds, and seas of 4-5 ft prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between strong high pressure across the western Atlantic and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds off Colombia through mid week, with moderate to fresh trade winds elsewhere.
Atlantic Ocean
See the Special Features section above for details on the ongoing significant swell.
A cold front extends from 31N48W to 27N67W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is N of 28N within 60 nm east of the front. Fresh to strong winds are also within 60 nm east of the front. Moderate to fresh winds prevail N of the front. Aside from the very rough seas discussed above, rough seas greater than 8 ft cover the waters N of 28N between 65W and 70W, and N of a line from 20N65W to 18N56W to 30N35W. Rough seas of 8-9 ft are found S of 10N between 35W and 45W. Elsewhere, winds are moderate or weaker, with moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will move east of 55W through early Sun. Large N swell following the front will mix with earlier large swell still covering the area east of 65W. Another cold front will move into the waters between northeast Florida and Bermuda by late today, and move to the east of the area by early Mon, leaving a trailing stationary front to dissipate along 21N. Strong winds and additional large N swell follow this front across waters east of 70W into early next week. A third cold front will move off the northeast Florida coast Mon night, and will reach from Bermuda to Jupiter Inlet, Florida by late Tue, and from 31N60W to central Cuba by late Wed.
Posted 0 minutes ago by NHC Forecaster Al
