A combination of weather features, including a stalled front and developing area of low pressure off northeast Florida, have turned on the holiday tap, directing rounds of tropically-infused storms toward the Florida peninsula beginning today and extending into the holiday weekend.
Though the main feature of interest off the southeast is being monitored for tropical development, the fetch of juicy, unstable air to its south will sweep periods of heavy rain into west-central Florida, especially along Florida’s Gulf Coast and its Interstate 75 corridor from just north of Tampa southward to Naples, beginning Thursday and spreading over much of Florida’s peninsula for the Fourth of July.
Our computer models are in good agreement with a broad area of low pressure forming off coastal Georgia and the Carolinas over the weekend, but they remain decidedly unenthusiastic on significant development as it loiters near or along the coast into early next week.
While a tropical depression or low-grade tropical storm could come together off the southeast by later this weekend or early next week, periods of heavy rain seeping northward into coastal areas of Georgia and North and South Carolina this weekend will be the primary threat regardless of development.
By Tuesday and Wednesday next week, the system should pick up the pace and pull away from the U.S. as it accelerates up the Eastern Seaboard.
Behind it, the Atlantic will stay generally quiet for the remainder of next week.
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